2000 Guineas 2026

2026

Runner profile scores

Weighted across 25+ metrics · 7 axes

How scores are calculated: Each runner is scored 0–100 across 25 individual metrics spanning form, market intelligence, draw, connections, breeding, race fit and career profile. Metrics are weighted by their historical predictive value and combined into an overall profile score — where 100 represents a perfect match to the typical 2000 Guineas winner since 2000. Scores above 75 indicate a strong profile match. Click any runner on the radar to compare profiles directly against the historic winner average.

Horse	Form ratings	Market intel	Draw	Connections	Breeding	Race fit	Career	Total
Puerto Rico	92	91	86	79	83	86	70	82.95
Distant Storm	95	87	86	79	72	76	88	82.75
Bow Echo	88	83	86	50	56	55	97	74.29
Oxagon	82	99	86	50	81	69	54	73.51
King's Trail	57	96	86	79	78	80	76	73.22
Gstaad	89	94	86	79	42	86	77	71.39
Avicenna	60	84	86	61	69	78	86	68.85
Causeway	53	0	86	79	83	90	70	67.36
Hankelow	65	0	86	50	65	75	92	66.36
Needle Match	51	60	86	50	69	87	77	65.73
Thesecretadversary	83	60	86	50	63	87	54	65.58
Padraig Dawn	54	0	86	50	81	88	61	63.7
Alparslan	79	73	86	50	46	87	67	63.13
Power Blue	74	0	86	50	60	87	67	62.99
Flushing Meadows	27	0	86	79	83	87	71	62.97
Into The Sky	62	73	86	50	41	91	82	61.0
Samangan	61	84	86	50	50	88	77	59.94
Venetian Prince	48	0	86	59	64	87	58	56.04
Lord Britain	4	0	86	50	67	89	67	48.75
Billecart	5	0	86	50	59	79	59	44.31

What each axis captures 25 metrics · 7 axes · weighted by historical predictive value

Form ratings

Peak ability & recent trajectory

Ceiling matters. So does direction of travel.

Market intel

Price signals vs historic winner distribution

The market is informative — but often wrong.

Draw

Positional edge on the Rowley Mile

26 years of stall data. The straight mile is unforgiving.

Connections

Trainer, jockey & ownership patterns

Connections are a signal, not a guarantee.

Breeding

Sire & dam lineage vs race demands

Genetic fit matters. Avg sire progeny dist: 9.9f.

Race fit

Recency, course & trip familiarity

Fitness leaves footprints. 77% of winners won LTO.

Career

Experience, win rate & seasonal freshness

Maps trajectory against the typical Guineas archetype.

7-axis profile radar

Select up to 4 runners to compare profiles against the historic winner average

Historic avg

CTX

Context & ante-post

Prep race patterns · NTO trends · 2000–2025

Prep race patterns

The prep race tables below show which races the eventual Guineas winner had previously won. The data reveals clear historical tendencies worth weighing alongside the model.

Dewhurst Stakes — 5 eventual Guineas winners had previously won Newmarket's 7f Group 1 the previous October.

Doncaster Futurity — 4 eventual Guineas winners had previously won this 1m test, filtering out pure sprinters and signalling stamina for the Rowley Mile.

62% of winners had no run in the current season before the Guineas — freshness is not a disadvantage on the straight Rowley Mile.

Greenham Stakes (7f, Newbury) — only 1 eventual Guineas winner had won this British trial since 2000, despite being a popular final prep.

Ante-post & next time out

What happens after the winner leaves Newmarket? Only 9/26 (35%) of 2000 Guineas winners won next time out — a reminder that the Guineas takes its toll.

O'Brien-trained winners typically target the Irish 2000 Guineas at the Curragh — historically his first port of call before Ascot.

Other trainers tend to bypass Ireland and go straight to the St James's Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot — the traditional mile championship for the Classic generation.

35% NTO win rate is well below casual expectation — market prices for winner NTO targets frequently overestimate their chance of following up.

Ante-post edge: Identifying the trainer early gives a clear read on the most likely next target — Irish Guineas and St James's Palace prices can be exploited weeks before declarations.

Prep race analysis

6 key prep races · 2000–2025 · connection to the 2000 Guineas

How to read: Gold rows — that winner went on to win the 2000 Guineas. Navy rows — current year entry who is in the 2026 field. The result column shows finishing position (e.g. 1/14 = won a field of 14)..

Went on to win the 2000 Guineas 2026 runner in this field No race held

1The 2019 running took place at Newcastle

2The 2006 running took place at Newbury

Going

Trainer

Time

Guineas result

Year	Winner	Trainer	Going	Time	Guineas result
2025	Hawk Mountain	Aidan O'Brien	Hy	00:01:43	—
2024	Hotazhell	Jessica Harrington	Sft	00:01:41	N/a
2023	Ancient Wisdom	Charlie Appleby	Hy	00:01:46	N/a
2022	Auguste Rodin	Aidan O'Brien	Hy	00:01:44	12/14
2021	Luxembourg	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:43	3/15
2020	Mac Swiney	Jim Bolger	Hy	00:01:41	N/a
2019¹	Kameko	Andrew Balding	ST	00:01:36	1/15
2018	Magna Grecia	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:37	1/19
2017	Saxon Warrior	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:40	1/14
2016	Rivet	William Haggas	Gd	00:01:37	N/a
2015	Marcel	Peter Chapple-Hyam	GS	00:01:40	13/16
2014	Elm Park	Andrew Balding	Sft	00:01:43	N/a
2013	Kingston Hill	Roger Varian	Sft	00:01:44	8/14
2012	Kingsbarns	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:40	N/a
2011	Camelot	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:38	1/18
2010	Casamento	Michael Halford	Gd	00:01:37	10/13
2009	St Nicholas Abbey	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:39	6/9
2008	Crowded House	Brian Meehan	Gd	00:01:39	N/a
2007	Ibn Khaldun	Saeed bin Suroor	Gd	00:01:37	10/15
2006²	Authorized	Peter Chapple-Hyam	Hy	00:01:43	N/a
2005	Palace Episode	Kevin Ryan	Hy	00:01:45	N/a
2004	Motivator	Michael Bell	Sft	00:01:41	N/a
2003	American Post	Criquette Head-Maarek	GF	00:01:39	N/a
2002	Brian Boru	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:46	N/a
2001	High Chaparral	Aidan O'Brien	Hy	00:01:45	N/a
2000	Dilshaan	Sir Michael Stoute	Sft	00:01:45	N/a

Going

Trainer

Time

Guineas result

Year	Winner	Trainer	Going	Time	Guineas result
2025	Bow Echo	George Boughey	GF	00:01:36	—
2024	Wimbledon Hawkeye	James Owen	Sft	00:01:38	5/11
2023	Ghostwriter	Clive Cox	GF	00:01:37	4/11
2022	The Foxes	Andrew Balding	Gd	00:01:43	N/a
2021	Royal Patronage	Mark Johnston	GF	00:01:38	8/15
2020	New Mandate	Ralph Beckett	Gd	00:01:37	N/a
2019	Royal Dornoch	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:35	10/15
2018	Mohawk	Aidan O'Brien	GF	00:01:36	N/a
2017	Roaring Lion	John Gosden	GS	00:01:39	5/14
2016	Best Of Days	Hugo Palmer	GF	00:01:38	N/a
2015	Foundation	John Gosden	Gd	00:01:38	N/a
2014	Elm Park	Andrew Balding	GF	00:01:37	N/a
2013	Berkshire	Paul Cole	GF	00:01:39	N/a
2012	Steeler	Mark Johnston	Gd	00:01:35	N/a
2011	Daddy Long Legs	Aidan O'Brien	GF	00:01:37	N/a
2010	Frankel	Henry Cecil	GS	00:01:41	1/13
2009	Joshua Tree	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:39	N/a
2008	Jukebox Jury	Mark Johnston	Gd	00:01:40	N/a
2007	City Leader	Brian Meehan	Sft	00:01:43	N/a
2006	Admiralofthefleet	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:41	N/a
2005	Leo	John Gosden	Gd	00:01:37	N/a
2004	Perfectperformance	Saeed bin Suroor	GF	00:01:41	N/a
2003	Snow Ridge	Marcus Tregoning	GF	00:01:41	2/14
2002	Al Jadeed	John Gosden	GF	00:01:42	N/a
2001	Mutinyonthebounty	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:45	N/a
2000	Atlantis Prince	Sean Woods	Sft	00:01:46	N/a

Going

Trainer

Time

Guineas result

Year	Winner	Trainer	Going	Time	Guineas result
2025	Gewan	Andrew Balding	GF	00:01:23	—
2024	Shadow of Light	Charlie Appleby	Sft	00:01:26	3/11
2023	City of Troy	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:24	9/11
2022	Chaldean	Andrew Balding	Gd	00:01:22	1/14
2021	Native Trail	Charlie Appleby	Gd	00:01:24	2/15
2020	St Mark's Basilica	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:25	N/a
2019	Pinatubo	Charlie Appleby	Sft	00:01:26	3/15
2018	Too Darn Hot	John Gosden	GF	00:01:24	N/a
2017	U S Navy Flag	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:22	N/a
2016	Churchill	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:23	1/10
2015	Air Force Blue	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:25	12/13
2014	Belardo	Roger Varian	Sft	00:01:27	N/a
2013	War Command	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:25	9/14
2012	Dawn Approach	Jim Bolger	GS	00:01:24	1/13
2011	Parish Hall	Jim Bolger	Gd	00:01:23	N/a
2010	Frankel	Henry Cecil	GS	00:01:25	1/13
2009	Beethoven	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:23	N/a
2008	Intense Focus	Jim Bolger	Gd	00:01:23	N/a
2007	New Approach	Jim Bolger	GS	00:01:25	2/15
2006	Teofilo	Jim Bolger	GS	00:01:26	N/a
2005	Sir Percy	Marcus Tregoning	GS	00:01:26	2/14
2004	Shamardal	Mark Johnston	Sft	00:01:27	N/a
2003	Milk It Mick	Jamie Osborne	GF	00:01:25	8/14
2002	Tout Seul	Fulke Johnson Houghton	Gd	00:01:23	4/20
2001	Rock of Gibraltar	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:28	1/22
2000	Tobougg	Mick Channon	GS	00:01:27	9/18

1The 2018 running took place at Chantilly

2The 2017 running was abandoned due to protests at Saint-Cloud

Going

Trainer

Time

Guineas result

Year	Winner	Trainer	Going	Time	Guineas result
2025	Puerto Rico	Aidan O'Brien	VSft	00:01:41	—
2024	Twain	Aidan O'Brien	Hy	00:01:46	N/a
2023	Sunway	David Menuisier	VSft	00:01:46	N/a
2022	Proud And Regal	Donnacha O'Brien	Hy	01:51:34	N/a
2021	Angel Bleu	Ralph Beckett	VSft	00:01:44	N/a
2020	Van Gogh	Aidan O'Brien	Hy	00:01:48	8/14
2019	Alson	Jean-Pierre Carvalho	Hy	00:01:28	N/a
2018¹	Royal Meeting	Saeed bin Suroor	GS	00:01:27	N/a
2017²	No Race				—
2016	Thunder Snow	Saeed bin Suroor	Sft	00:01:28	N/a
2015	Johannes Vermeer	Aidan O'Brien	Hy	00:01:30	N/a
2014	The Monarch	Roger Varian	VSft	00:01:43	N/a
2013	Ectot	Élie Lellouche	VSft	00:01:43	N/a
2012	Loch Garman	Jim Bolger	Hy	00:01:52	N/a
2011	French Fifteen	Nicolas Clément	VSft	00:01:43	2/18
2010	Roderic O'Connor	Aidan O'Brien	Hy	00:01:45	11/13
2009	Jan Vermeer	Aidan O'Brien	VSft	00:01:45	N/a
2008	Zafisio	Paul Blockley	Hy	00:01:46	N/a
2007	Thewayyouare	André Fabre	VSft	00:01:45	N/a
2006	Mount Nelson	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:41	N/a
2005	Carlotamix	André Fabre	Sft	00:01:45	N/a
2004	Helios Quercus	Cyriaque Diard	VSft	00:01:45	N/a
2003	Bago	Jonathan Pease	VSft	00:01:47	N/a
2002	Dalakhani	Alain de Royer-Dupré	Hy	00:01:52	N/a
2001	Act One	Jonathan Pease	Hy	00:01:47	N/a
2000	No Race				—

1Run over 1 mile instead of 7f — time not directly comparable

2The 2016 & 2017 runnings took place at Chantilly while Longchamp was closed for redevelopment

3Gleneagles finished 1st but was demoted to 3rd after a stewards' enquiry — he went on to win the 2015 2000 Guineas

Going

Trainer

Time

Guineas result

Year	Winner	Trainer	Going	Time	Guineas result
2025	Puerto Rico	Aidan O'Brien	VSft	00:01:21	—
2024	Camille Pissarro	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:20	N/a
2023	Rosallion	Richard Hannon Jr.	GS	00:01:18	2/11
2022	Belbek	André Fabre	VSft	00:01:22	N/a
2021	Angel Bleu	Ralph Beckett	Hy	00:01:24	N/a
2020	Sealiway	Frederic Rossi	Hy	00:01:23	N/a
2019¹	Victor Ludorum	André Fabre	VSft	00:01:44	N/a
2018¹	Royal Marine	Saeed bin Suroor	Gd	00:01:39	N/a
2017²	Happily	Aidan O'Brien	Sft	00:01:38	3/15
2016²	National Defense	Criquette Head-Maarek	Gd	00:01:35	N/a
2015¹	Ultra	André Fabre	Gd	00:01:37	N/a
2014³	Full Mast	Criquette Head-Maarek	Gd	00:01:20	1/18
2013	Karakontie	Jonathan Pease	Sft	00:01:22	N/a
2012	Olympic Glory	Richard Hannon Sr.	Hy	00:01:25	N/a
2011	Dabirsim	Christophe Ferland	Gd	00:01:19	N/a
2010	Wootton Bassett	Richard Fahey	VSft	00:01:23	N/a
2009	Siyouni	Alain de Royer-Dupré	Gd	00:01:19	N/a
2008	Naaqoos	Freddy Head	GS	00:01:18	N/a
2007	Rio de la Plata	Saeed bin Suroor	GS	00:01:21	N/a
2006	Holy Roman Emperor	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:18	2/15
2005	Horatio Nelson	Aidan O'Brien	GS	00:01:20	8/14
2004	Oratorio	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:19	4/19
2003	American Post	Criquette Head-Maarek	H	00:01:24	N/a
2002	Hold That Tiger	Aidan O'Brien	Gd	00:01:20	17/20
2001	Rock of Gibraltar	Aidan O'Brien	H	00:01:22	1/22
2000¹	Okawango	Criquette Head	Sft	00:01:41	N/a

1No race held — cancelled due to COVID-19

2The 2016 running took place at Chelmsford City

3The 2000 running took place at Newcastle

4Chaldean, the race favourite, unseated rider here but went on to win the 2000 Guineas

Going

Trainer

Time

Guineas result

Year	Winner	Trainer	Going	Time	Guineas result
2026	Alparslan	Karl Burke	Gd	00:01:24	—
2025	Jonquil	Andrew Balding	Gd	00:01:24	N/a
2024	Esquire	David O'Meara	GS	00:01:25	N/a
2023⁴	Isaac Shelby	Brian Meehan	Sft	00:01:29	N/a
2022	Perfect Power	Richard Fahey	Gd	00:01:22	7/15
2021	Chindit	Richard Hannon Jr.	Gd	00:01:23	5/14
2020¹	No Race				—
2019	Mohaather	Marcus Tregoning	GS	00:01:26	N/a
2018	James Garfield	George Scott	GS	00:01:26	7/14
2017	Barney Roy	Richard Hannon Jr.	GF	00:01:23	2/10
2016²	Tasleet	William Haggas	St	00:01:25	N/a
2015	Muhaarar	Charles Hills	GF	00:01:20	N/a
2014	Kingman	John Gosden	Gd	00:01:26	2/14
2013	Olympic Glory	Richard Hannon Sr.	GS	00:01:26	N/a
2012	Caspar Netscher	Alan McCabe	Sft	00:01:32	9/18
2011	Frankel	Henry Cecil	GF	00:01:24	1/13
2010	Dick Turpin	Richard Hannon Sr.	Gd	00:01:22	2/19
2009	Vocalised	Jim Bolger	Sft	00:01:27	N/a
2008	Paco Boy	Richard Hannon Sr.	Sft	00:01:27	N/a
2007	Major Cadeaux	Richard Hannon Sr.	GF	00:01:23	6/24
2006	Red Clubs	Barry Hills	Gd	00:01:25	12/14
2005	Indesatchel	David Wachman	GS	00:01:29	N/a
2004	Salford City	David Elsworth	Gd	00:01:26	6/14
2003	Muqbil	John Dunlop	GF	00:01:24	12/20
2002	Redback	Richard Hannon Sr.	GF	00:01:23	3/22
2001	Munir	Barry Hills	GS	00:01:31	6/18
2000³	Barathea Guest	George Margarson	GS	00:01:26	3/27

Historic race insights

Runner profile scores

Context & ante-post

Prep race analysis